Thursday, June 24, 2010

Deep Water Horizon Disaster: NY Times' Henry Fountain interviewed on Fresh Air by Dave Davies

This is a very interesting background report on the Deepwater Horizon disaster.

According to this report, cost cutting is always an issue. The fact is that delays and their extra costs should just be part of the equation of deep water drilling. Doing it right should be tantamount, especially with potential consequence. "Hurry up!" and "This is our well. Do it our way, afterall we're the one assuming the risk." We now see that it isn't just a single company that must pay the price- everyone is harmed. Entire industries and ecosystems are wiped off the map. All the way along, no one speaks up for the consequences of pollution and long term damage to wildlife and habitat.


Good Planets are Hard to Find
(Steve Forbert)

Good planets are hard to find,
Temp'rate zones and tropic climes,
True currents in thriving seas,
Winds blowin' through breathing trees,
Strong ozone and safe sunshine,
Good planets are hard to find.

Good planets are in demand,
Clean beaches and sparkling sand,
Land masses with room to spare,
Jet streams and perfect air,
High forests and low wetlands,
Good planets are in demand.

And the mind don't know
If the heart can't see;
Let the blind man go
To his destiny...

Good planets are rare indeed,
Rain fallin' on crops and seed,
Big rivers and good topsoil,
Fuel sources from cane to oil,
Green gardens of all we need,
Good planets are rare indeed.

And the mind don't know
If the heart can't see;
Let the blind man go
To his destiny...

Good planets are scarce and few,
Earthworms and caribou,
Strong food chains and tasty meals,
Textiles and plants that heal,
Iron mountains and skies of blue,
Good planets are scarce and few.


Update: I found this acoustic version of the song that Steve Forbert made available at the New York Times.

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

Microsoft, the new IBM (minus the big iron)

Steven Vaughan-Nichols has an interesting take on the current realities at Microsoft. This echoes what I wrote in my blog here, that Microsoft's current culture may be too slow to adapt to changing market realities. The standard rule at Microsoft, "three tries to get it right" just doesn't cut it anymore. They did get Windows 7 out the door, but it's really a minor paint job over XP- just something to keep the monopolist's cash rolling in. Instead of all that wasted effort, they could have sold annual subscriptions to NT4, allowing "kernel" upgrades to Windows 2000, Windows XP, etc. Instead, they stuck with the sales/development model that they had chosen- the mind numbing choice of versions and the labyrinth at the heart of software assurance. It's hard to argue with success, but the money in technology can be a firehose or a dry creek bed. Where's WordPerfect's revenue stream now? Where's Novell's? The market moves on. Distractions, like marketing a new paint job for the OS every three to five years takes the eye of the ball- and doesn't lead to an overall market strategy. You can argue that monopolists don't need a strategy- that the money will just keep rolling in. That hasn't been the rule of thumb in technology so far. So far the repeating pattern is this: one company invents a killer technology and builds a dynasty around it; they continue to milk their cash cow- raising prices all the way. That leaves to door open for another new technology to come in to disrupt the status quo. Inevitably, the next company follows along the same track. Gates/Ballmer were powerless to prevent becoming the next IBM. Big companies are big, and carry a lot of inertia. It's hard to tell the guys with all of the money that they're just flat out wrong and on the wrong track. The Vaughn-Nichols article places blame at the top, and calls for Ballmer's ouster because that is where considerable mass/inertia is centered.

To be sure, all the tidal forces are going against Microsoft. Consider their slow release cycle, their high prices, their inflexible contracts, their limited platform, their 100,000+ Windows viruses, and (most of all) their stodgy leadership. Customers don't like high prices, especially when they are set arbitrarily high in order to meet the monopolist's agenda. Luckily, Linux was there to step in as a worthy replacement- winning jobs from supercomputers to Rokus, Tivos, and Androids. Microsoft's payroll is large; start counting the days until layoffs.

Windows CE vs. iPhone, Android
I haven't been a big Apple fan, but you have to give it to them for delivering products that people want and will pay for. A big part of Apple's success was that when Job's came back from hiatus, he had the courage to pull the plug on the stalled project to upgrade the Macintosh OS- the Copland project. This was replaced by Rhapsody which leveraged open source development and led to their successes with OSX and the iPhone. Android also leverages open source and doesn't have the monopolist's hardware lock in. Plus, with Android you'll get multitasking because it's Linux at its core. Compare this active development to the stalled "ecosystem" at the heart of Microsoft's handheld OS, Windows CE.

Update: Microsoft pulls the plug on part of their "shotgun" strategy and kills the KIN. Microsoft's successful products continue to fund a bunch of losers. Their philosophy seems to be if you put enough bb's into the air, a few will hit something. Good luck with that. Keep loading the shotgun and firing blindly.

Monday, June 14, 2010

Apple's Walled Garden

Apple is working to make their version of the internet snowy white. Their latest target is James Joyce's often censored work, Ulysses.

Here is Slashdot's
headline.

The "Mother, may I" saga continues. I don't think Apple has thought this through. Apple appointing themselves top censor is an echo to 1984 and "Big Brother is watching." That's a PR nightmare.

More practically, the job of censor is not easy, either. Could Apple be found liable if someone's delicate sensibilities are offended by some "approved" content? It's a slippery slope when someone sets themselves up as the be-all, end-all censor. It looks like excellent fodder for a lawsuit against Apple.

  1. Find "approved" content that is "offensive." Shouldn't be hard.
  2. Find a lawyer to take case on contingency. Shouldn't be hard- Apple has deep pockets.
  3. Profit!!!


A better answer to Apple's walled garden is to warn the user:

  • "buyer beware!"
  • "It's a jungle out there."
  • etc.


I think it's almost impossible not to offend anyone. First of all, some people are easily offended. This leads to a least-common-denominator that all content has to be fit for a preschooler, etc.

p.s. The Atlantic discusses Apple's walled garden view here.

Update 2010-06-16 : Apple reverses its decision.

  • Developer: Mother, may I post my Ulysses comic?
  • Apple: You may not! Wait, yes you may.


I'm just waiting for the moral police's knee jerk reaction,

"Look, there's a drawing of a penis! I'm outraged! I was counting on you protecting me from anything offensive. You'll be hearing from our lawyers!


Here is Slashdot's
headline.

This comment definitely earned its "Score:4, Funny" rating.

p.s. By the way, the New York Times discusses Ulysses being used by ATT in the 1950's to broaden the liberal arts education of their top managers. Most of the targeted audience had come to work with ATT via their background in engineering and other technical disciplines. Ulysses was the capstone to the program given at U Penn.

Wednesday, June 9, 2010

Apple : All things digital, if developers can run their gauntlet






This past week saw the latest gadget release from Apple, including version 4 of the iPhone. I read these related articles about Apple's strategy and how they continue to "support" developers who work on their iPhone platform. If you play by their rules, then there's a pot of gold waiting at the end of the rainbow. But there is not so much gold as heartache if you run afoul of the lords at Apple- read more below.

  • Molly Wood

  • Neil McAllister



  • Apple = Microsoft 2.0
    Jobs came back to Apple like a prophet from the wilderness. He brought them back from the abyss. I and a lot of other people had written them off, but they rose from the ashes by embracing a unified hardware/software platform, with hardware manufactured only by Apple. Their new software platform, OSX, is a Unix-based technology; Darwin uses FreeBSD at the core. You've really got to give it to Jobs! He saw that the BSD license would allow him to take the best of the technology and never have to give anything back, or only when he felt like it. And if you didn't notice, the days of anything coming back from them are gone. Now, Apple is widely considered to be the leading tech company, leaving Microsoft in their dust. Microsoft is the new IBM, the slow, stodgy company that Gates/Ballmer wanted to avoid at all costs. Too bad the DOJ didn't follow through with the planned breakup of Microsoft. As smaller, more focused entities, they'd be better positioned to compete now. There are very few scenarios where a unified Microsoft makes the most sense, and we're not living in one of them. (Coincidentally, the breakup would have likely meant more money in the long run for Microsoft's "baby bells".) For sure, the path that led us through Vista is not among those that make sense/money. It cemented the fact that Microsoft's software release strategy is much too slow to compete. It also left the software market as something that was "Microsoft's to lose." They've lost it, and handed off to a new incumbent monopolist: Apple is the new Microsoft.

    But no matter the different origins, they're now more alike than different. Regardless of the messenger, Gates/Ballmer or Jobs, the message remains the same: Don't get in the way of the 900 lb gorilla! They're now both following a monopolistic business plan. Apple defeated Microsoft because Jobs has two big advantages over Ballmer. First, he blends in better, chameleon-style. Is Jobs part of the establishment, or anti-establishment? It's hard to tell, but either way, it gives him his second advantage, just "looking cool." No one thinks monkey dance boy Ballmer is cool under pressure. But Jobs, in his disguise, the wolf in sheep's clothing, gets to tread in territory that Ballmer can only dream about. Gates/Ballmer ended up in antitrust court over cutting off the air supply of a little upstart company, Netscape. But since Apple is not a monopoly (in terms of absolute market share), it is free to lock out the giant Google, keep Opera at bay, and not worry too much about any of the little guy's toes. Apple developers better be prepared to run their gauntlet- and on Apple's titled table.

    One thing is for sure, Ballmer is monstrously jealous of Jobs. First, Apple passes Microsoft in total market cap- and size matters! Second, Apple has the total device lock down which requires the "mother, may I?" approval from Jobs that Ballmer could only dream of. And finally, Jobs gets to stand up there on stage wearing levis with a twelve-foot high backdrop appealing to "Developers" and he never even breaks a sweat.




    Luckily one choice remains and is the last hope to avoid the one-vendor lock in and monopolist lockout. Monopolies have a limited playbook. Choose the infinite, open platform instead. Choose GNU/Linux.

    Friday, June 4, 2010

    NY Times Travel spends weekend in Salt Lake City...

    ...insert your own joke here. Hey, they spent the weekend and didn't go to Temple Square to hear the Mormon Tabernacle Choir? Instead, they mentioned Kilby Court and The Urban Lounge as top local music venues. I remember that Joe went to see Form of Rocket at Kilby Court, and some other now famous musicians like playing the Urban Lounge.

    They went to Red Butte for their flower show, but didn't get to Albion Basin for their wild flowers? There really is more to do in SLC than this article implies, though.

    Thursday, June 3, 2010

    In the news: Google outlaws Windows internally

    This story came out earlier this week, and I didn't get around to posting it. Google is switching away from the Windows OS on all internal workstations. This isn't that big of shock because their 500,000+ server operations are already running GNU/Linux; the Android platform is based on a Linux kernel; and Google is poised to release the Chrome OS, a new GNU/Linux based OS. The Chrome OS will be optimized to access cloud-based resources and hopes to make the choice of the OS running locally irrelevant. In any case, the Google decision is good news because it shows that GNU/Linux is ready for prime time on the desktop. That may help reduce the Windows hegemony/monopoly. The reason for Google's descision to switch, according to unnamed internal sources, is the Chinese hack of high-level executives computers earlier this year. That attack, as I understand it, targeted specific individuals, and only succeeded due to use of IE6. Here is Slashdot's headline.



    Here are some other very good summaries:

  • Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols

  • Jason Perlow

  • Offshore Oil : Relief Well Requirement

    Canada requires that a relief well be drilled along side new offshore oil wells. BP recently argued that they are not necessary because of all of the other safety measures in place which make a blowout nearly impossible. We now see that "unlikely" scenario unfolding in the gulf. It may be months until the oil well flow is stopped, not weeks under the more safe procedure where a relief well was in place and could be used to kill the well. Here is an excellent report with some background information as reported by Peter Overby on NPR.

    Update: NPR's On Point discussed the spill with a variety of guests, including Robert Reich. Reich argues that this is an emergency which requires nationalizing all of BP's resources, not just the ones which are "economically feasible." For example, their entire fleet of tankers could have been deployed near the spill site "vacuuming" the ocean for oil.